Will Pakistan "Implode" before 2029? Short Answer : YES. Follow...

@deepdownanlyz
DeepDownAnalysis@deepdownanlyz
15 views May 21, 2025 ~4 min read
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Will Pakistan "Implode" before 2029?

Short Answer : YES.

Follow @deepdownanlyz and read this analytical thread to find the reason.

On April 28 Asim Munir and Shahbaz Sharif have sold Pakistani assets to Crypto fund WLF.

Baloch, Sindh, Pashtuns, POJK boiling hotter than ever.

But How Pakistan will implode?
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Implosion means breaking down from Inside.

Here are the reasons:

Economic Time Bomb :

Pakistan’s economy is in perpetual crisis mode:

Debt-to-GDP ratio: 73.94%+

Fiscal deficit: ~7% of GDP (FY 25 forecasted)

Foreign exchange reserves: Hovering ~$15B to support 3 months of import

Inflation: 37% in 2023

Currency has tanked by 250% since 2019:

PKR/USD in 2018: ~120
PKR/USD in 2025: ~280-300

Default is only postponed via IMF bailouts.

They are seeking another USD 5 billion debt as they missed growth Targets.
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Debt Trap Diplomacy & IMF Dependency:

Pakistan has taken 25+ IMF loans since 1958.
In 2023-24, IMF approved a $3B bailout and another 1.7 billion approved in May 2025. But repayments are due:

$77B due by 2026, including to China, Saudi Arabia, UAE.

Debt servicing in FY25: >60% of federal revenue

Pakistan is borrowing to repay debt = unsustainable loop.

Now Pakistan..
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...signed a deal with US Crypto fund to tokenize its assets on that platform.

Asim Munir was also part of that deal. What it means?

All Pakistan state owned assets are for sale on that platform.

Pakistan will be using it get money for bailouts as IMF has tightened the noose with 11 restrictions.

As this crypto deal gets real, Pakistan's entire financial ecosystem will be comprised and it will result into massive unrest and instability.

China is not happy with this deal as lot of Chinese Pakistani infra projects may be impacted.

To make sure, China doesn't turn Asim Munir in its side, he has been promoted to Field Marshal even after defeat.

Why Pakistan did this deal?
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Because Another time bomb: Baloch, Sindhis, Pashtuns have created massive unrest in their respective regions.

With Operation Sindoor, Pakistan Armed Forces are in complete dismantled state.

Baloch are more aggressively fighting their war of independence than before.

Once they get independent, China will dump Pakistan and work with Balochistan for its projects, rare earth minerals and sea access in Arabian sea.

Khyber Pakhtunwa region is also having massive unrest with...
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....support from Taliban for multiple regions including civil rights and negligence.

Taliban has engaged and killed Pakistani forces frequently in last one year at disputed Pakistan Afghan border.

Pashtuns are getting all sort of support from Taliban in their fight for independence.

Taliban govt is building dam to stop flow of Kabul river to Pakistan.
So Pakistan's doomed economy...
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... is further crippled by Indus Treaty revokation and now Afghanistan building dam.

Both of these together can impact 25% of Pakistan's GDP and 40% of Pakistan's employment.

Sindh, POK are also facing massive civil unrest, calling for their independence though not so strong till now.

With...
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weak Pakistan military these unrest are going to convert into Balochistan like movement very very soon.

Pakistan is world's 3rd most water stressed country.
It will become No1 with Indus treaty revocation.

Mass civil unrest is on cards in coming months and only to intensify in coming year.
And China...
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.... is furious with Pakistan's deals with US and exposure of US nukes in Pakistan bunkers during Operation Sindoor.

China called Pak Dy PM and he has been welcomed like a low rank staff.

China is seeing risk to its investments in Pakistan and Pakistan's poor performance in Op Sindoor where Chinese defence system got exposed and contracts are getting canceled world wide.

What should India do?
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India needs to do what it has done since last 7-8 years to push Pakistan to the pit.

We don't need to go for POJK by force. Pakistan will itself serve us on platter.

Demonetization broke their financial state since 2016

Operation Sindoor has fuelled internal independence movements and external rift with its ally China and ..
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.... pushed it to be colonised by US.

Indus Valley treaty revocation has put its backbone of economy ie agriculture at major risk.

India doesn't need to waste time and money in long war with Pakistan for POJK and irk China.

POJK, Balochistan, KFP and Sindh will born very soon.
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Protestors have burnt Sindh’s home ministers house due to water crisis. This is just the beginning of this prediction.
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