No matter how much of an edge your system has, the reason you...
Yumi🌸@samuraipips358
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Apr 09, 2025
~1 min read
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No matter how much of an edge your system has, the reason you cannot realize it is always you🧵
Probability works through the Law of Large Numbers, and what is required of you there is consistency.
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Probability works through the Law of Large Numbers, and what is required of you there is consistency.
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A system with an edge is one where profits ultimately remain precisely because you cut losses based on rules; the edge lies precisely in those losses, and the edge functions only by including those losses.
Denying losses is the same as denying the system itself.
A system with an edge is one where profits ultimately remain precisely because you cut losses based on rules; the edge lies precisely in those losses, and the edge functions only by including those losses.
Denying losses is the same as denying the system itself.
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Traders who cannot accept losing cannot make probability function and realize their edge.
It is not that the system is not functioning; it is just that your emotions reject it, and you yourself are not "functioning" with consistency as part of the probability.
What is not functioning is not the system, but "you".
Traders who cannot accept losing cannot make probability function and realize their edge.
It is not that the system is not functioning; it is just that your emotions reject it, and you yourself are not "functioning" with consistency as part of the probability.
What is not functioning is not the system, but "you".
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Any system or strategy cannot avoid losses or losing streaks.
As long as you cannot accept losses, changing the system, no matter how much, is meaningless.
As long as you try to avoid losses, you will be trapped in an endless loop of searching for strategies.
Any system or strategy cannot avoid losses or losing streaks.
As long as you cannot accept losses, changing the system, no matter how much, is meaningless.
As long as you try to avoid losses, you will be trapped in an endless loop of searching for strategies.
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The edge appears through the Law of Large Numbers far in the future, after continually repeating the necessary actions.
What needs to change is not the system, but you.
The key is to what extent you can accept randomness, to what extent you can accept losses and losing streaks, in other words, "whether you can think in terms of a larger sample size".
Thanks for reading!
If you enjoyed this thread, check out my books on trading.
【THE PATH TO SUCCESS IN TRADING】
E-book:payhip.com/b/H1ZBo
Paperback:a.co/d/fXmRhIa
【Trading Psychology】
E-book:payhip.com/b/SNnJC
Paperback:a.co/d/d0QJMxK
Hope these insights help your trading journey 😊
The edge appears through the Law of Large Numbers far in the future, after continually repeating the necessary actions.
What needs to change is not the system, but you.
The key is to what extent you can accept randomness, to what extent you can accept losses and losing streaks, in other words, "whether you can think in terms of a larger sample size".
Thanks for reading!
If you enjoyed this thread, check out my books on trading.
【THE PATH TO SUCCESS IN TRADING】
E-book:payhip.com/b/H1ZBo
Paperback:a.co/d/fXmRhIa
【Trading Psychology】
E-book:payhip.com/b/SNnJC
Paperback:a.co/d/d0QJMxK
Hope these insights help your trading journey 😊