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According to @EvolvingHockey's numbers there is not a single team...

@CJTDevil
CJ Turtoro@CJTDevil
286 views Jan 04, 2026 ~1 min read
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According to @EvolvingHockey's numbers there is not a single team in the NHL finishing "over expected".

They're not alone. This is nearly ubiquitous. They just happen to be the ones who present it best.

Regardless, xG models are busted.
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This one is @TopDownHockey's hockeystats.com
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This one is @NatStatTrick, probably closest to properly tuned.
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And @MoneyPuckdotcom. The line is y=x (finishing at expected).
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Forgot one. It looks like @HockeyViz from @IneffectiveMath is largely in tune. Negligibly lower than expected finishing league-wide.
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