🧵Heading back to DC after @MunSecConf followed by a brief stop-over...
Andrew A. Michta@andrewmichta
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Feb 17, 2025
~1 min read
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🧵Heading back to DC after @MunSecConf followed by a brief stop-over in Warsaw to speak at Szkoła Przywództwa @instwolnosci. The key delivery for me from Munich: Europe slept through the last three years when it comes to rearmament, with the consequences for all to see. 1/5
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I leave with a palpable sense that the largest European countries are scrambling to adapt to the new reality of great power politics. Nothing highlights the extent of this disorientation more than a senior German politician breaking in tears during the MSC closing ceremony. 2/5
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The reality is that for three years the largest European @NATO allies have dragged their feet on rearmament, seemingly unable to move beyond the Biden administration's escalation management strategy in Ukraine, with no clear vision of victory or even an end game in this war. 3/5
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I leave deeply troubled by what I heard on the margins about "adapting to the new reality" where "#China could become Europe's key partner going forward." All such talk laced with finger pointing at the US that I heard during my every visit to Europe over the past four years. 4/5
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The idea that #China could become the guarantor of Europe's security shows how truly disconnected from reality European policy elites seem to have become. And how unprepared they are for the fundamental change in US domestic politics and foreign policy in the next four years.5/5
