Inflation-adjusted S&P 500 is sending a WARNING sign This won’t end...
Bravos Research@bravosresearch
74 views
Oct 30, 2024
~2 min read
Advertisement
1
Inflation-adjusted S&P 500 is sending a WARNING sign
This won’t end well
A thread 🧵
This won’t end well
A thread 🧵
2
2/ The S&P 500 is up over 65,000% since 1918
But when adjusted for inflation, the market's return falls to 5,000%
But when adjusted for inflation, the market's return falls to 5,000%
3
3/ This is where the inflation-adjusted chart helps
While the S&P 500 rises over time, it also shows significant declines relative to inflation
Historically, the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 has moved within a relatively stable range
While the S&P 500 rises over time, it also shows significant declines relative to inflation
Historically, the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 has moved within a relatively stable range
4
4/ When the S&P 500 hit the top of this range, it marked extremely poor times to invest
This happened in:
- 1913
- 1929
- 1965
- 1999
In each case, the market eventually fell, with at least a 60% drop in inflation-adjusted value
This happened in:
- 1913
- 1929
- 1965
- 1999
In each case, the market eventually fell, with at least a 60% drop in inflation-adjusted value
5
5/ Most agree the stock market is overextended on an inflation-adjusted basis
But what does that mean for the actual (non-adjusted) S&P 500?
These are the type insights we regularly cover in our Investment Strategy Videos
And provide actionable Trade ideas at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
But what does that mean for the actual (non-adjusted) S&P 500?
These are the type insights we regularly cover in our Investment Strategy Videos
And provide actionable Trade ideas at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
6
6/ Just because inflation-adjusted returns drop doesn’t mean the S&P 500 itself has to fall
Particularly if inflation runs out of control
Particularly if inflation runs out of control
7
7/ For now, US inflation is cooling
Key commodities like wheat, chicken, oil, and natural gas have all dropped in price
Which reduces the risk of a major inflationary surge
Key commodities like wheat, chicken, oil, and natural gas have all dropped in price
Which reduces the risk of a major inflationary surge
8
8/ If inflation remains low, stocks could continue to melt up
Resembling periods like the late 1990s, 1980s, and late 1920s—times of low and stable inflation
Each of these melt-ups eventually ended in a crash
And we could be on a similar path this time as well
Resembling periods like the late 1990s, 1980s, and late 1920s—times of low and stable inflation
Each of these melt-ups eventually ended in a crash
And we could be on a similar path this time as well
9
9/ Our members are extremely well-positioned for this market rise
With names like $SLV already up double digits since initiation
Find all our Active Trades with their Setups at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
With names like $SLV already up double digits since initiation
Find all our Active Trades with their Setups at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
10
10/ View our track record for FREE on our website
We’ve had an avg. win of 17.37% and an avg. loss of just 3.78% in 2024
Get real-time Trade Alerts at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
We’ve had an avg. win of 17.37% and an avg. loss of just 3.78% in 2024
Get real-time Trade Alerts at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
11
11/ Thanks for reading!
If you enjoyed this thread, please ❤️ and 🔁 the first tweet below
And follow @bravosresearch for more market insights, finance and investment strategies
If you enjoyed this thread, please ❤️ and 🔁 the first tweet below
And follow @bravosresearch for more market insights, finance and investment strategies
Bravos Research@bravosresearch
Inflation-adjusted S&P 500 is sending a WARNING sign
This won’t end well
A thread 🧵
This won’t end well
A thread 🧵
