US government debt market collapse has begun This has MASSIVE...

@bravosresearch
Bravos Research@bravosresearch
38 views Sep 13, 2024 ~2 min read
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US government debt market collapse has begun

This has MASSIVE implications for the economy

A thread 🧵
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2/ US government bonds broken below a 40-year uptrend

After experiencing one of the most devastating bear market since the 1980s
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3/ Treasury bonds, usually 40% of an investor's portfolio, have led to big losses because of their sharp decline
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4/ Since March 2020, gold has outperformed bonds by +100% amid surging government spending

Government spending has risen from $3.4 trillion to almost $4 trillion in just 2 years
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5/ Constantly rising government spending, financed by issuing more Treasury bonds, is a MAJOR problem

This has caused bond prices to drop substantially
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6/ 2024 Treasury bond issuance is expected to hit $1.9 trillion

This level is higher than even the peak of the 2008 Financial Crisis levels
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7/ Our long-term bond outlook is bearish

But, with the incoming rate cuts, bonds could bounce

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8/ A key factors that’s driving the long-term bond breakdown is the decline in labor force participation rate

Since 1999, this metric has shown a strong negative correlation to US government debt
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9/ Decreasing labor force participation + increasing government debt indicate economic strain

This is due to an increasing number of retirees and a shrinking workforce

The combination has required the government to increase its spending
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10/ With US population aging and more people retiring

Labor force participation is likely to decline further

This would increase government debt even more

Unless spending changes
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11/ That’s why Gold has seen a lot of bullishness lately

Surging +40% since Oct 2023

Our members have already secured a 22% gain on $GDX when we booked partial profits on 23rd May 2024

And continue to hold the rest for more upside
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12/ You can view our track record for FREE on our website

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13/ Thanks for reading!

If you enjoyed this thread, please ❤️ and 🔁 the first tweet below

And follow @gameoftrades_ for more market insights, finance and investment strategies


@bravosresearch
Bravos Research@bravosresearch
US government debt market collapse has begun

This has MASSIVE implications for the economy

A thread 🧵
Media image
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