Finance/Crypto thread by @nobrainflip

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I turned $1k into $130k in last bull run.

Then dropped to $8k, as I didn't fix profits on time.

Many tell when to buy, but nobody says when to sell.

I spent months, studying how to sell crypto at ATH.

I made $2.4M from $8k in a year with this strategy 👇🧵

2

As I said, during the last bull run, I turned $1k into $130k, but fell to $8k for not securing profit in time.

The same will happen to 99% of people this cycle, so remember unrealized PnL is not PnL at all.

But I'll tell you when and how to make your PnL realized.

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Disclaimer: No one can predict every ATH with precision, and I won't pretend to be a magician claiming u'll learn this.

However, with a few rules, understanding structure, and other factors, u'll be able to lock in profits and close positions positively.

                            4
                        
I'll tell you everything u need to know to understand when to sell:

- Market cycle model and when to sell BTC/ETH
- When to sell shitcoins/memes
- Impact of CEX listings & other factors on when to sell alts
- Crucial rules

All in detail and more below 👇

5

The price of BTC, like any asset, always moves in cycles according to certain patterns.

This repeats due to human emotions, especially FOMO.

Every time, BTC grows a year before and year after Halving, and each time people think this time will be last.

Each time they are wrong.

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In 2017, btc reached its ATH precisely 882 days before the halving event.

In 2021, it followed the same pattern.

Between the all-time lows of 2018 & 2022 and halvings of 2020 & 2024, there were 511 days in each case.

Both the bear markets of 2018 and 2022 lasted for 371 days.

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As you can see on a big timeframe, crypto is not just cyclical, but repeats almost day by day.

This won't help u on short/mid-term, but we can conclude that if structure remains same, this bull will peak in Oct 2025, meaning there's still significant upside, especially for alts.

8

During a bull run on alts, u can earn 100x+ more than on btc/eth, as they can yield not just 2x, but 1000x.

Therefore, it's equally important to understand when altcoins are growing, to rebalance your portfolio maximizing profit.

A pic with everything you need to know:

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Now let's dive into when to sell alts, here's wat to consider:

- Upside potential (compare with competitors in the sector)
- If token is listed on CEXs (listing always leads to a pump, at least on the announcement)
- Roadmap, partnerships, team, etc.
- Holders (VCs, top holders)

10

Let's look at the $WIF example, which I called recently at a 600m MC before listing on Binance:

- Upside potential? The MC of $SHIB, $DOGE, $PEPE, $FLOKI was significantly higher, with DOGE even 50 times higher, so the upside is huge.

𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽@nobrainflip

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- No major CEX listings (this was the main factor, given such hype it was clear that it'd happen soon)

- Crazy community, shill from the biggest influencers, decentralization by holders, most liquid chain rn (10/10 for a meme)

I recommend going through each project like this.

                            12
                        
Now, the most important and simple aspect that everyone neglects - rules.

You might understand how everything works, but if you don't have a system and can't manage your emotions, you'll REKT.

Here are my 3 rules that will help sell close to ATH and consistently profit:

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1/➮ Always ask urself: would I buy this token rn from the market if I wasn't already holding it?

After buying, we tend to set high take profits, substituting expectations for desires.

You'll be surprised by amount of junk in ur portfolio if u simply ask urself this question.

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2/➮ Enter on expectations of news, and when it has already occurred - sell, not buy:

News hits, and it's time to dip, not stack.

If you're buying post-news, you're just funding the early birds' lambo fund.

Don't be that guy who arrives when the music's already off.

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3/➮ Think of market profits as your paycheck, not a lottery win.

Treat that dough with respect, not like you're on a Vegas spree.

Slow and steady wins the race.

Keep your head cool and your wallet heavy.

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➮ Liked this thread? I write educational threads daily, so don't forget to:

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𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽@nobrainflip

I turned $1k into $130k in last bull run.

Then dropped to $8k, as I didn't fix profits on time.

Many tell when to buy, but nobody says when to sell.

I spent months, studying how to sell crypto at ATH.

I made $2.4M from $8k in a year with this strategy 👇🧵

I turned $1k into $130k in last bull run. Then dropped to $8k, as I...

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