Philippe Lemoine (@phl43)

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@phl43

When I modeled the second round of the French elections based on the result of the first round by assuming that voters would behave as in the second round of 2022, I forecast ~275 seats for the RN and its allies. In the end, it looks as though it will end up with 130 to 150 seat

@phl43

lmao

@phl43

Okay, I don't have time to go over all the drama that Macron's decision to call snap elections caused because it would take forever (just know that it's hilarious though), but I can explain briefly what the likely political consequences will be. The short version is that it's pro

@phl43

A perfect illustration of the Nagging Wife Model of the Israel Lobby.

@phl43

I can't help but think that, if Al Capone were alive, he'd complain about organized crime on Twitter.

@phl43

One thing I've heard from people on the pro-Israel side of the debate in the US is that, if the protests are not crushed, Jews will be driven off campus and other parts of the country in the way they were in some parts of Europe, but that's frankly based on a total misunderstandi

@phl43

I think one thing that sets apart normies and what for lack of a better term I will call "Internet autists" is their attitude toward self-teaching. In my experience, the idea that if you want to learn statistics, programming, economics or whatnot, you can just pick up a bunch of

@phl43

From what I understand Israel was using World Central Kitchen to sideline UNRWA, so if yesterday's attack was intentional, I think we can be pretty sure that it was a decision made by some individual officer and not something that was sanctioned at the highest level. But if I had