𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗢𝗠𝗜𝗖 𝗖𝗢𝗟𝗗 𝗪𝗔𝗥: 𝗗𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗗𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗠𝗣’𝗦 𝟭𝟰𝟱% 𝗧𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗙𝗙 𝗢𝗡 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗔 #Trump’s...

12 views Aug 15, 2025 ~5 min read

𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗢𝗠𝗜𝗖 𝗖𝗢𝗟𝗗 𝗪𝗔𝗥: 𝗗𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗗𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗠𝗣’𝗦 𝟭𝟰𝟱% 𝗧𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗙𝗙 𝗢𝗡 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗔
#Trump’s Tariff Trump card is like a 440V Electric shock to #China. The game is much bigger than mere Economics. From Economy to Military, its a 360° Spin.
Academic Thread
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A small strategic move by US has created a world wide turmoil. Though many are thinking about the economics behind, this move has opened the Pandoras box with several surprises. It must be accepted that #China is the new age ‘Meghnaad’ which has mastered the art
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of deception in past three decades. However, #Trump’s tariff move is like the “Anjalik Astra” which has decapitated #Beijing’s long term deception with which it has fooled several small nations under the flag of Belt & Road Initiative (BRI)
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𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗘𝗦𝗘 𝗙𝗔𝗞𝗘 𝗚𝗗𝗣
Chinese government statistics may indicate itself as a $20 Trillion economy and that the country is almost an equal of the United States. In reality, studies suggest that Chinese GDP is far smaller and is no more than half of US.
America. . .
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has enormous leverage over #Beijing. #Washinton along with its allies can do a quick economic decoupling from #China leaving it devastated in the present times. Even historical comparisons suggest that the #SovietUnion reached a peak of 57 percent of U.S. GDP in 1975.
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Research by renowned American political scientists Stephen G. Brooks & Ben A. Vagle suggests that #China’s so called vast economic output in manufacturing is half the story. A closer look at the 27 industries in the Forbes 2000, makes the U.S. lead over China. American firms
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generate 55% of profits, firms owned by US allies generate 29% while Chinese high-technology firms generate a mere 6% of profits worldwide. What it however projects through its propaganda channels is a different story.
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𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗶𝗣𝗛𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗘𝗫𝗔𝗠𝗣𝗟𝗘
Since the iPhone is assembled in #China, it is considered a Chinese export in official statistics, contributing billions of dollars annually to the US trade deficit ($10 billion in 2018). But, Chinese companies make up a comparatively
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small portion of the iPhone's manufacture only. iPhone is designed in #California and assembled in factories owned by Taiwanese. Valuation of its components show a contribution of US (32%), #SouthKorea (25%), #Japan (11%), #Taiwan (7%) & China only at 4%.
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𝗡𝗔𝗩𝗔𝗟 𝗕𝗟𝗢𝗖𝗞𝗔𝗗𝗘𝗦 𝗔𝗙𝗧𝗘𝗥 𝗧𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗙𝗙 𝗕𝗟𝗢𝗪
With 145% US tariff’s and hints of further similar moves, #China would suffer deep economic pain almost equivalent to Great Depression and short-run economic disruptions affecting between 15 and 51 percent of
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the country’s GDP. US Vice President JD Vance has also hinted towards a distant naval blockade since US has refocused its naval & military assets from #Ukraine & Mediterranean sea to Indian ocean. From 6-8 December 2024, US Pacific fleet commander Adm. Samuel J. Paparo
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visited #Bangladesh. Recently, US Lt Gen Joel Vowell, Dy Commander of US Army Pacific, also visited #Dhaka on 25 March 25 while illegal @ChiefAdviserGoB was going to China a day after. US also stationed nearly 6 B-2 Spirits in Diego Garcia.
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𝗜𝗡𝗗𝗜𝗔- 𝗦𝗥𝗜 𝗟𝗔𝗡𝗞𝗔 𝗔𝗚𝗥𝗘𝗘𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗦
#India is a strategic US partner and a Quad member. During Indian PM Modi’s recent visit to Sri Lanka, India offered to help Sri Lanka to strengthen its naval capabilities. Defence MoU signed between both nations include:
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•    High-level military exchanges  
•    Joint exercises  
•    Capacity building  
•    Humanitarian Assistance & Disaster Relief (HADR)  
•    Naval port calls  
•    Exploratory discussions on Defence industry cooperation

All of the above can be resourceful to
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@USNavy in creating an effective naval blockade to disrupt 39.9%of #China’s GDP dependent on maritime trade through Indian ocean. Quite a reason why Chinese are requesting Indian support now.
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𝗔 𝗙𝗨𝗥𝗜𝗢𝗨𝗦 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗔 𝗠𝗔𝗬 𝗔𝗧𝗧𝗔𝗖𝗞 𝗧𝗔𝗜𝗪𝗔𝗡
China is largely dependent on high-technology parts and software from US & its allies. Today, several factories closed their operations in #China temporarily due to 145% US tariffs.
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Nepal Correspondence@NepCorres

𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗠𝗣 𝗧𝗥𝗜𝗚𝗚𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗘𝗦𝗘 𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗢𝗠𝗜𝗖 𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗠𝗢𝗜𝗟
Chinese factories have halted operations after 125% US tarrifs. A similar situation for another 45 days can push #Beijing to force small nations to return Chinese debt & halt Projects related to BRI.

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Sensing its collapsing money cycle, China’s window of opportunity to attack #Taiwan will quickly begin to close which can trigger #Beijing for an early unprepared attack. China may launch an overwhelming attack but sustaining it without robust in house supplies
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and production is difficult. In Dec 2023, we reported that PLA is dealing with a poor supply chain and demoralized infantry. #China hires private truck drivers to deliver supplies to high altitude areas since its own troops are not well trained.
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Nepal Correspondence@NepCorres

𝐁𝐑𝐄𝐀𝐊𝐈𝐍𝐆
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐄𝐱 𝐏𝐋𝐀 𝐬𝐨𝐥𝐝𝐢𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩
#China cannot handle a 3 front #war. Large number of youths have quit military service due to non payment of wages. #PLA supply chain affected. Chinese Def minister's visit to #India has a motive

Even in #Tibet, PLA is largely dependent on supplying food and fuel to military through drones. In case of a full scale strike on #Taiwan, it will be very difficult for #China to sustain it at the same aggression for more than a week.
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Nepal Correspondence@NepCorres

PLA has started testing its BES-HV Exo- Skeleton suits (Battery life from 5- 8 hours) to empower infantry for transportation of heavy equipment. PLA's supply chain now heavily depends on Drone supply chain and can paralisee own operations if Drone communication is hacked.

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𝗔𝗠𝗘𝗥𝗜𝗖𝗔’𝗦 𝗚𝗜𝗔𝗡𝗧 𝗧𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗙𝗙 𝗠𝗢𝗩𝗘 𝗖𝗔𝗡 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗕𝗔𝗟𝗢𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗦𝗧𝗔𝗡
Like every action has an opposite reaction, American Agriculture sector will also face a blow due to economic decoupling, since, US exports a significant amount of agriculture
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goods to #China. To protect its industries, US wants to stockpile more natural resources. For strategic benefits, United States needs to increase its natural resources stockpile to Cold War levels, roughly ten times as large as it is now. Quite a reason why #Trump
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administration is interested in Greenland, Arabian sea and #BayofBengal. If BRAS offers US, a chunk of its natural resources and a military & naval base against support for Independence from the illegal occupation of #Pakistan, it will be a great deal.
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𝗥𝗢𝗟𝗘 𝗢𝗙 𝗜𝗡𝗗𝗜𝗔
Right now, India is the Ace of cards with maximum leverage in the region. Why #China suddenly finds India as a partner is because deep inside, they know they are sinking. They used the similar card in 1962 war by using “Hindi- Chini Bhai Bhai”
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to buy enough time to dump ammunition in forward areas of Tibet. They are working aggressively to cut #India’s 7 sisters (North East) and have made illegal road network in #GilgitBaltistan and Shaksgam valley. They have armed #Pakistan quite well against India and
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spared no effort to create anti- India sentiments in our #Nepal, #Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and even Maldives. #China is clearly an enemy. Wisdom suggests to crush the enemy at the first opportunity which can now be done simply by not shaking hands with Hans at any cost.
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𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗢𝗠𝗜𝗖 𝗖𝗢𝗟𝗗 𝗪𝗔𝗥: 𝗗𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗗𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗠𝗣’𝗦 𝟭𝟰𝟱% 𝗧𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗙𝗙 𝗢𝗡 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗔 #Trump’s...

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