Vance won, for what it’s worth. He was calm, respectful, reasonable. He treated Walz as a decent man with whom he happens to disagree. He lied through his teeth. But it doesn’t matter.
2
Everyone who cared to watch this has already formed an opinion of Vance. If you like him or hate him, you see through what he did. In the short term it helps Trump only in that it keeps Vance off the news for saying something stupid.
3
It helps Vance personally because it sets him up for ’28. This is the footage they’ll reach back to. Whatever the relative advantage to Trump I expect he’s not pleased. Vance spoke of Trump a lot, kept him to the front, but to Trump he was soft.
4
“If Walz is the next Vice President he’ll have my help, prayers.” Trump won’t like that.
5
Vance can do little now. This is a statement of independence from Trump, that he’ll run on his own no matter what. And it is a step toward the candidate I’ve warned against—the Bircher with a smooth face.
6
Walz never lost his nerves. This is mostly due to being briefed to face a different opponent. He mostly hit his marks. But there is no excuse for the China answer. The question was a slow breaking ball at the letters.
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