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US government debt market COLLAPSE has begun This has MASSIVE implications for the economy A thread 🧵


2/ US government bonds have broken below a 40-year uptrend After experiencing one of the most painful bear market since the 1980s


3/ Treasury bonds, typically 40% of an investor's portfolio, have led to big losses because of their sharp decline

4/ Since March 2020, gold has outperformed bonds by +100% amid surging government spending Government spending has risen from $3.4 trillion to almost $4 trillion in just 2 years


5/ Constantly rising government spending, financed by issuing more Treasury bonds, is a MAJOR problem This has caused bond prices to drop significantly Our long-term bond outlook is bearish But, in the near-term, bonds could bounce, given their vicious decline

6/ A key factor that’s driving the long-term breakdown in bonds is the decline in labor force participation rate Since 1999, this metric has shown a strong negative correlation to US government debt


7/ Decreasing labor force participation + increasing government debt indicates economic strain This is due to an increasing number of retirees and a shrinking workforce The combination has compelled the government to increase its spending


8/ With US population aging and more people retiring Labor force participation is likely to decline further This would further increase government debt Unless spending changes


9/ That’s why Gold saw a lot of bullishness in recent months Surging by around 110% since its Oct 2023 lows Just yesterday, we booked profits on $UGL (+48.97%) $WPM (+43.58%), and $AEM (+45.96%) Vew our track record for FREE at: <a target="_blank" href="https://bit.ly/BravosResearch" color="blue">bit.ly/BravosResearch</a>

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11/ Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed this thread, please ❤️ and 🔁 the first tweet below And follow @bravosresearch for more market insights, finance and investment strategies <a target="_blank" href="https://x.com/bravosresearch/status/1915464587199254801" color="blue">x.com/bravosresearch…</a>