@bravosresearch: US government debt market COLL...
@bravosresearch
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Apr 27, 2025
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US government debt market COLLAPSE has begun
This has MASSIVE implications for the economy
A thread 🧵
This has MASSIVE implications for the economy
A thread 🧵
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2/ US government bonds have broken below a 40-year uptrend
After experiencing one of the most painful bear market since the 1980s
After experiencing one of the most painful bear market since the 1980s
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3/ Treasury bonds, typically 40% of an investor's portfolio, have led to big losses because of their sharp decline
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4/ Since March 2020, gold has outperformed bonds by +100% amid surging government spending
Government spending has risen from $3.4 trillion to almost $4 trillion in just 2 years
Government spending has risen from $3.4 trillion to almost $4 trillion in just 2 years
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5/ Constantly rising government spending, financed by issuing more Treasury bonds, is a MAJOR problem
This has caused bond prices to drop significantly
Our long-term bond outlook is bearish
But, in the near-term, bonds could bounce, given their vicious decline
This has caused bond prices to drop significantly
Our long-term bond outlook is bearish
But, in the near-term, bonds could bounce, given their vicious decline
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6/ A key factor that’s driving the long-term breakdown in bonds is the decline in labor force participation rate
Since 1999, this metric has shown a strong negative correlation to US government debt
Since 1999, this metric has shown a strong negative correlation to US government debt
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7/ Decreasing labor force participation + increasing government debt indicates economic strain
This is due to an increasing number of retirees and a shrinking workforce
The combination has compelled the government to increase its spending
This is due to an increasing number of retirees and a shrinking workforce
The combination has compelled the government to increase its spending
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8/ With US population aging and more people retiring
Labor force participation is likely to decline further
This would further increase government debt
Unless spending changes
Labor force participation is likely to decline further
This would further increase government debt
Unless spending changes
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9/ That’s why Gold saw a lot of bullishness in recent months
Surging by around 110% since its Oct 2023 lows
Just yesterday, we booked profits on $UGL (+48.97%) $WPM (+43.58%), and $AEM (+45.96%)
Vew our track record for FREE at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
Surging by around 110% since its Oct 2023 lows
Just yesterday, we booked profits on $UGL (+48.97%) $WPM (+43.58%), and $AEM (+45.96%)
Vew our track record for FREE at:
bit.ly/BravosResearch
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10/ Our Trade Alerts contain of all key details, like:
- Long/Short position
- Allocation
- Entry and Stop-loss
- Reasoning
Try our service out with a 30% DISCOUNT expiring in less than 48 hours!
bit.ly/BravosResearch
- Long/Short position
- Allocation
- Entry and Stop-loss
- Reasoning
Try our service out with a 30% DISCOUNT expiring in less than 48 hours!
bit.ly/BravosResearch
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11/ Thanks for reading!
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