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So much for reports by April 1, and a deliberative process -- President Trump is a true believer "“The tariffs are going to make us very rich and very strong" -- 1/
Pharmaceutical imports, especially from low tax jurisdictions, have exploded recently -- they are up about 3x after Trump's tax cuts created a lower de facto tax rate (GILTI, at 10.5%) on offshore than onshore production 2/
Tariffing imported chips (components for US production) but not imported final goods with embedded chips would normally be viewed as a self defeating move -- most chips aren't imported as "chips" but as components of electronics/ autos ... 3/
Maybe there is something sophisticated behind these moves -- but right now they seem likely to show the limits of using tariffs as all all purpose tool for economic and foreign policy ... 4/ <a target="_blank" href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-says-tariffs-are-coming-on-computer-chips-steel-and-more-cef9974c?mod=hp_lead_pos2" color="blue">wsj.com/politics/elect…</a> 4/
love how the kink in the curve on pharma imports is right at the end of 2017, when the TCJA passed -- One of my better calls was saying from the start that it would increase not reduce the incentive to offshore production 5/5
