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Inflation-adjusted S&P 500 is sending a WARNING sign This won’t end well A thread 🧵
2/ The S&P 500 is up over 65,000% since 1918 But when adjusted for inflation, the market's return falls to 5,000%
3/ This is where the inflation-adjusted chart helps While the S&P 500 rises over time, it also shows significant declines relative to inflation Historically, the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 has moved within a relatively stable range
4/ When the S&P 500 hit the top of this range, it marked extremely poor times to invest This happened in: - 1913 - 1929 - 1965 - 1999 In each case, the market eventually fell, with at least a 60% drop in inflation-adjusted value
5/ Most agree the stock market is overextended on an inflation-adjusted basis But what does that mean for the actual (non-adjusted) S&P 500? These are the type insights we regularly cover in our Investment Strategy Videos And provide actionable Trade ideas at: <a target="_blank" href="https://bit.ly/BravosResearch" color="blue">bit.ly/BravosResearch</a>
6/ Just because inflation-adjusted returns drop doesn’t mean the S&P 500 itself has to fall Particularly if inflation runs out of control
7/ For now, US inflation is cooling Key commodities like wheat, chicken, oil, and natural gas have all dropped in price Which reduces the risk of a major inflationary surge
8/ If inflation remains low, stocks could continue to melt up Resembling periods like the late 1990s, 1980s, and late 1920s—times of low and stable inflation Each of these melt-ups eventually ended in a crash And we could be on a similar path this time as well
9/ Our members are extremely well-positioned for this market rise With names like $SLV already up double digits since initiation Find all our Active Trades with their Setups at: <a target="_blank" href="https://bit.ly/BravosResearch" color="blue">bit.ly/BravosResearch</a>
10/ View our track record for FREE on our website We’ve had an avg. win of 17.37% and an avg. loss of just 3.78% in 2024 Get real-time Trade Alerts at: <a target="_blank" href="https://bit.ly/BravosResearch" color="blue">bit.ly/BravosResearch</a>
11/ Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed this thread, please ❤️ and 🔁 the first tweet below And follow @bravosresearch for more market insights, finance and investment strategies <a target="_blank" href="https://x.com/bravosresearch/status/1851285448485978355" color="blue">x.com/bravosresearch…</a>