Iran’s Ballistic Missile force in light of Operation "Epic Fury/Roaring Lion" - a mega Thread 🧵

The “Epic Fury/Roaring Lion” operation, which began on February 28, resulted in numerous achievements in the campaign against Iran. These included damage to the Iranian economy through strikes on petrochemical facilities and steel production factories, as well as the degradation of air defense and command-and-control capabilities. The achievements include two of the central objectives of the operation: pushing the Iranian nuclear program back by several years and heavily damage the ballistic missile program.

This review will focus on the damage to the ballistic missile array during the period between February 28 and April 8 (when the ceasefire came into effect).

The Iranian missile program consists of manufacturing facilities and deployed missile units.

The production array is managed primarily by the Ministry of Defense (MODAFL), and to a lesser extent by the IRGC. It is distributed across several military-industrial complexes in Khojir, Parchin, Shahroud, and others. The production process includes facilities responsible for the production of explosive material, warheads, the cylindrical missile body, engines, engine fuel (liquid or solid), and finally an assembly plant where all components are integrated.

The operational component is operated exclusively by the IRGC Aerospace Force and comprises regional command headquarters, secondary bases, brigade-level bases, and adapted facilities across Iran. Each base primarily serves for the storage of missiles and mobile launchers, along with supporting components such as command units, fueling systems, and fixed launchers. Given the strategic nature of these weapons, most bases incorporate underground infrastructure designed to store missiles and launchers and protect them from aerial strikes. In addition, many bases include dedicated facilities for fueling and testing missiles prior to deployment. Once deployed, launchers may be positioned in open areas within bases, in open terrain, or concealed within adapted structures throughout the country.

The IDF Spokesperson published a summary of the operation on April 17, stating that the strikes rendered approximately 60% (several hundred) of ballistic missile launchers inoperable. The strikes also included bombing of infrastructure belonging to the operational units deployed across Iran, with Israel focusing on bases in the center and west of the country, and the United States focusing on bases in the south aimed at the Gulf states. The bombings were carried out, among other means, using American strategic bombers that dropped large quantities of munitions on underground infrastructure.

The strikes led to a reduction in the volume of fire toward Israel and toward Gulf states throughout the operation. The reduction in the volume of fire continued until mid-March, and afterward the Iranians began increasing the rate of fire, in parallel with the restoration of command-and-control systems that had been significantly damaged in the opening strike of the operation.

n addition, many missile production lines within military industrial complexes were damaged, and the “Epic Fury/Roaring Lion” operation has created a situation in which the IRGC Aerospace Force is not expected to receive new missiles for at least the coming year.

Below, I'll review of the extent of the damage in facilities and bases across Iran, including Sentinel-2 satellite documentation:

First we'll start with the operational unit bases:
1. Tabriz North Missile Base

One of the largest missile bases in Iran. Its location in northwestern Iran constituted a significant threat due to its relative proximity to Israel. Accordingly, it was one of the first targets struck during the war.

At the base, two fortified tunnel complexes were excavated for storing launchers and missiles.
Surface infrastructure sustained heavy damage during the “Rising Lion” operation (June 2025), followed by partial Iranian restoration efforts.

As of today, most of the base’s infrastructure has been struck including administrative structures, storage buildings, and collapsed tunnel entrances.

2. Tabriz South Missile Base

The central missile checkout structure was destroyed already during opersation “Rising Lion”. In addition, the base includes a storage tunnel and two fixed silo launchers.

All surface infrastructure was struck, and the tunnel entrances were collapsed.

3. Zanjan Missile Base

The base includes bunkers for protecting mobile launchers and administrative structures. The missile checkout structure was destroyed in June 2025.

All base infrastructures were struck, especially in the administrative area, and bunker entrances were damaged.

4. Abhar Missile Base

A small missile base with several components that had already been struck in the past, including missile testing and storage hangars.
Near the base, a new storage tunnel is currently under excavations.

As of today, strikes have been identified on two components at the base, including an additional missile checkout structure, and stikes by the entrances of the tunnel

5. Kangavar Missile Base

All surface infrastructure was destroyed in June 2025, and no reconstruction has been carried out since. Near the base, a new storage tunnel was constructed in which most of the recent base’s activity took place.

The tunnel entrances were struck and collapsed, and supporting components of the tunnel were destroyed.

6. Kamicheh Missile Base

A base in which most of its surface infrastructure was destroyed back in June 2025, and it also includes a missile storage tunnel with two entrances.

Currently, the remaining administrative surface components have been destroyed, and attempts were made to collapse both entrances.

7. Kermanshah North Missile Base

A large military complex that includes four entrances of one large tunnel or two separate adjacent tunnels under the same ridge.

All surface infrastructure in the complex was destroyed, and tunnel entrances were collapsed, and their access routes were also disrupted.

8. Kermanshah Missile Base

One of the largest missile bases in Iran and the central headquarters of the Kermanshah region. The base was significantly damaged during operation “Rising Lion.” During reconstruction, new missile checkout structures were built, and underground complexes were expanded.

Currently, several above-ground components were struck, including those Missile checkout structures and weapons bunkers, along with attempts to collapse tunnel entrances.

9. Borujerd Missile Base

A relatively small base with a Missile checkout structure and fixed launcher infrastructure already damaged during operation “Rising Lion.”

At present, the Missile checkout structure, a missile testing structure, and the base gate were struck and destroyed.

10. Khorramabad Missile Base

One of the largest bases in western Iran, located within Imam Ali Camp. It consists of multiple tunnel complexes:
A. A large northwestern tunnel with three entrances
B. A southern launch tunnel enabling silo missile launches
C. A northeastern tunnel under construction
D. Another nearby tunnel with a single entrance

All underground infrastructure was struck, with attempts to collapse entrances and block access. Supporting above-ground structures were also destroyed.

11. Dezful Missile Base

A base consisting of two underground complexes. The northern complex has three entrances, and the southern complex has two entrances.

All entrances were struck and collapsed, and all above-ground infrastructure of the base was destroyed, including the Missile checkout structure.

12. Abyek Missile Base

A new base primarily composed of a massive tunnel whose construction has not yet been completed, featuring five entrances.

The collapse of the westernmost entrance has been identified, along with damage to above-ground support structures near the base gate.

13. Eshtehard Missile Base

A small missile base west of Tehran with a storage tunnel featuring two entrances. The above-ground infrastructure, including the Missile checkout building, was destroyed during operation “Rising Lion,” with only minimal restoration since.

Currently, tunnel entrances were struck, along with strikes on mobile components across the base.

14. Bidganeh Missile Base

A main missile base west of Tehran. It includes several Missile checkout structures that had been restored since the previous operation, as well as a storage tunnel.

All structures were struck again, and attempts were made to collapse the tunnel entrances.

15. Damavand Missile Base

A base east of Tehran with several recently constructed above-ground components, alongside a large tunnel with three entrances and a newly excavated eastern fourth entrance.

Multiple attempts were made to collapse the entrances, and many above-ground components were struck and damaged.

16. Qom Missile Base

This missile base is located within a large military complex between Tehran and Qom, serving as a logistics and weapons storage hub for the Iranian military and the IRGC. The missile base had previously been struck and has recently been restored.

Currently, several administrative structures were struck, the Missile checkout structure was flattened, and tunnel entrances were collapsed.

17. Kashan Missile Base

A relatively small base with one Missile checkout structure, two fortified tunnel entrances with high defensive embankments, and three additional unconnected tunnel entrances.

The Missile checkout structure was significantly damaged, tunnel entrances were collapsed, and mobile components were destroyed.

18. Khomeyn Missile Base

A large base that was significantly damaged in June 2025 and has been undergoing restoration since. Approximately 5 kilometers south of the base is a large storage tunnel.

The overwhelming majority of above-ground components in both the central base area and the tunnel area were destroyed, and tunnel entrances were collapsed.

19. Najafabad Missile Base

A large base in central Iran near Esfahan, located within "101 Anbiya" military compound. It consists of numerous underground complexes and Missile checkout structures. It was significantly damaged in the past during operation “Rising Lion” and has been undergoing restoration.

Currently, many above-ground components across the base were struck and destroyed. Additionally, many tunnel entrances used for missile storage were struck and collapsed.