The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter)
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China is dominating the worldwide race for power: China now has a record 3.75 terawatts of power generation capacity. That capacity has doubled over the last 8 years. This is nearly 3 TIMES more than the US, which has ~1.30 terawatts of capacity. Furthermore, China has 34 nuclear reactors un...
It's official: The US government has now entered day number 35, making it the LONGEST in history. Since the shutdown began on October 1st, the US government has borrowed $600 BILLION worth of debt. That's +$17 billion PER DAY. What's happening? Let us explain. ...
BREAKING: 67.6% of US consumers are now living paycheck to paycheck, according to a PYMNTS survey. Theis percentage has risen by +10 points over the last 18 months. This comes as nearly 30% of consumers lost their financial safety net before July 2020 and have struggled since. A similar percentag...
Mass buybacks are coming: Buyback authorization announcements have risen +16% YoY so far in 2025, reaching a record $1.15 TRILLION. This marks the 2nd consecutive yearly increase. Since the 2020 low, share repurchase authorizations have more than TRIPLED. Meanwhile, buybacks by the 4 largest US ...
What just happened? At 10:57 AM ET, President Trump canceled his meeting with China and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. 40 minutes later, the S&P 500 erased -$1.2 TRILLION of market cap. Is this dip a BUYING opportunity? Let us explain. (a thread) ...
This is the definition of broken: In 15 days, the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025, yet the 30Y Treasury Yield is now near 5.00%. We have RISING interest rates as markets "price-in" Fed interest rate CUTS. Do you realize what's happening? (a thread) ...
The Fed drama worsens: President Trump just signed an Executive Order which "fired" Fed Governor Cook due to a "Criminal Referral." Never in the 111-year history of the Fed has a President fired a Fed Governor. This would COMPLETELY shift the Fed. Here's why: (a thread) ...
Are you paying attention? Bitcoin is now up +55% since its April 2025 low, hitting a RECORD $115,000. Meanwhile, the US Dollar just had its WORST start to a year since 1973, falling nearly -11% in 6 months. This is not a coincidence. Let us explain. (a thread) ...
It's official: President Trump is now calling for the first 300+ basis point interest rate cut in US history. This would be 3 TIMES larger than the 100 bps cut on March 15th, 2020, the largest in history. So, what happens if the Fed does this? Let us explain. (a thread) ...