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Zineb Riboua

@zriboua

My latest China's Machinery in Iran Meets Washington's Economic Fury Understanding the US Treasury's latest sanctions For years, the IRGC sustained itself through shell companies, rotating vessel identities, and shadow banking corridors that kept oil revenue flowing far from formal financial channels, turning every prior sanctions round into a temporary inconvenience absorbed and rerouted within months. Washington kept targeting individual nodes while leaving the broader network intact, which gave Tehran reasonable confidence that Epic Fury’s ceasefire, like every pause before it, would open another window for recovery. That calculation is wrong this time, because the cost of each passing week compounds rather than eases, with Treasury’s action targeting the evasion architecture itself rather than its individual components, ensuring that what Tehran reads as time purchased is in fact institutional capacity being permanently stripped away. That architecture survived as long as it did for one reason: China built the financial infrastructure to sustain it. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.zinebriboua.com/p/chinas-machinery-in-iran-meets-washingtons" color="blue">zinebriboua.com/p/chinas-machi…</a>

Zineb Riboua

@zriboua

The IRGC operated a rotating fleet of tankers under falsified identities to conceal Iranian crude shipments to Chinese buyers, while Hengli Petrochemical, China’s second-largest independent refinery, received more than five million barrels of IRGC-affiliated crude through that same network. The arrangement served Beijing on both ends: Chinese refiners purchased Iranian crude at steep discounts unavailable on open markets, while every successful evasion transaction simultaneously stress-tested the financial infrastructure Xi intended to activate over Taiwan. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.zinebriboua.com/p/chinas-machinery-in-iran-meets-washingtons" color="blue">zinebriboua.com/p/chinas-machi…</a>