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General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, former Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and current Ambassador to the UK: Due to scientific and technological progress, it has become impossible, regardless of what others may claim, to carry out operational-level tasks. 1/12
An operational task is not a fight for two houses or even for a small town over the course of a year. Operational execution means achieving large-scale results within a short period of time, advancing 150, 200, even 250 kilometers. 2/12
Today, that is no longer possible. Because of technological developments, such outcomes are effectively unattainable. 3/12
Claims about major territorial gains today sound unrealistic, almost impossible under current conditions, except perhaps through fully automated, machine-driven means. 4/12
But the same constraints apply to Russia. They cannot concentrate forces or form a decisive strike group capable of rapid, deep advances. Technically, this is no longer feasible. The battlefield has become transparent. Anyone who appears is detected and targeted. 5/12
The war has reached a kind of deadlock, a zugzwang, for both sides. What happens at the front line is important, but it is not decisive. More important is what happens beyond the so-called kill zone, across the broader depth of the country, extending to the western borders. 6/12
What we are witnessing is a large-scale technological revolution—first and foremost driven by the rise of artificial intelligence. This is the key game changer that will shape the future global order. 7/12
At the same time, it remains difficult to predict what that order will actually look like. It is hard to think like a futurist in this context because, so far, there is no clear leader in this technological race—no single actor around which a new system could consolidate. 8/12
What is emerging instead are potentially dangerous ideas. Many are familiar with Elon Musk and discussions around so-called “techno-fascism.” 9/12
In simplified terms, this points to a possible future where a small number of extremely powerful technology companies exert outsized control over global systems. If translated into the military domain, this logic becomes even clearer. 10/12
From a purely operational perspective, it may take only a handful of highly capable private actors to enforce order in a technologically advanced environment, effectively shaping control within an increasingly digital battlespace. 11/12
In this sense, the future world order will largely depend on how states and societies navigate this technological leap. 12/12
Source: <a target="_blank" href="https://youtu.be/3GDjOtbiTXw?si=uoVdQf_UYy4KWNGp" color="blue">youtu.be/3GDjOtbiTXw?si…</a>
—— Please remember to subscribe and support my Substack - Russia Analyzed - for the latest insights and analysis on Russian foreign and security policy and the war against Ukraine. <a target="_blank" href="http://cutt.ly/pw9h2qju" color="blue">cutt.ly/pw9h2qju</a>
You can read detailed remarks by General Zaluzhnyi on my Substack: <a target="_blank" href="https://open.substack.com/pub/russiaanalyzed/p/must-read-general-zaluzhnyi-on-ukraines?r=2sz3fb&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay" color="blue">open.substack.com/pub/russiaanal…</a>
