Thread Truncated (Cap Enforced)
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🧵 The Undercut & Rally — the setup most traders sell. Smart traders BUY.
1/ Stock drops below a key low. Panic. Stops hit. Shorts pile in.
Then it snaps back above.
That's the U&R. 🧵
2/ Why it works:
Prior lows = clustered stops. Price dips below → stops trigger → sellers exhausted. Shorts trapped. Their covering fuels the rally. 🚀
3/ Two entries:
▸ Same-day: undercuts low, closes back above → buy reclaim ▸ Next-day: sells off hard, gaps up next morning → buy open
Daily chart. Closing basis.
4/ Rules:
✅ Price reclaims prior low → BUY
✅ Stop: 1% below undercut wick
✅ Target: prior swing high
Tight stop. Big R:R. Size up.
5/ Volume tell:
📉 Low volume undercut = no sellers = bullish 📈 High volume undercut + next-day gap = capitulation = explosive
6/ The MAUR — Moving Average Undercut & Rally.
Stock undercuts the 10/21/50/200 MA. Reclaims it.
Same stop rule: 1% below the wick. ⚡
7/ MAUR by level: