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Wimar.X

@DefiWimar

🚨 BREAKING: THE 4 YEAR CYCLE IS DEAD AND THE NEXT BULL RUN IS CLOSE! Most people still think we need another 4 years for the next real bullrun. That’s completely WRONG. I dug into long term BTC cycle models using an LPPL framework, the same type used to study bubbles + market blow offs. This is not a small dataset. It uses 17 years of BTC history, 5,600+ daily data points, with an R² close to 0.98. THAT’S NOT A COINCIDENCE. This model is not trying to call next week. It’s about where BTC sits vs its long term trend. And in the analysis, BTC is still below that trend. BTC: $91,480 Trend value: $124,492 That is a 26.5% discount. That is not euphoria. That is the market still not believing. THIS IS WHERE PEOPLE GET REKT. They keep waiting for the “real crash” while BTC is still building a base under the long term trend. Now the part that nukes the 4 year cycle myth. Fixed 4 year model AIC: −6,384.4 LPPL model AIC: −7,508.6 That is a 1,124 point gap. THAT IS A COMPLETE WIPEOUT. Conclusion. Cycles are not fixed anymore. They stretch as the market gets bigger. That is why 2026 can be bullish without looking like a straight pump. Yes, 2026 can still be choppy + annoying. Liquidity + macro matter and you can still get nasty flushes. But the timing starts turning up after 2026, like it did in 2015 + 2019, right before multi year runs. THIS IS WHERE THINGS GET INTERESTING. If this holds, the real expansion window is 2027 to 2029. That is why $250,000 is not crazy. It is conservative. And the higher target case is what people are not ready for. I spent 4 years at Harvard studying economics. 10 years as a macro analyst. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

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