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Yield curve inversion has already set the stage for a recession This had also happened in 1928, 1972, and 2000 All of them ended in a recession Buckle up π§΅


2/ Trump has won the Presidential election A key part of his appeal this year was his emphasis on boosting economic growth Which resonated with many voters Following his win, the stock market reacted positively Fueled by promises of tax cuts and deregulation


3/ But similar optimism also surrounded the elections of 1928, 1972, and 2000 In each of those cases, US interest rates were near where they are today - around 5%


4/ Another similarity? In all 4 instances, short-term interest rates were higher than long-term rates Which is a setup known as an inverted yield curve This inversion is rare and often precedes economic recessions


5/ In each of these historic cases, signs of a recession were present well before the election Meaning that the incoming presidents had limited control over the economic outcome


6/ This time we have a similar setup But for now, the markets remain in a bullish structure These are some of the key trendlines that weβre watching closely


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8/ Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed this thread, please β€οΈ and π the first tweet below And follow @bravosresearch for more market insights, finance and investment strategies <a target="_blank" href="https://x.com/bravosresearch/status/1858533950601482417" color="blue">x.com/bravosresearchβ¦</a>