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Once Again, There Isn't Going to be an Iran Deal!
Expect Trump's Iran Deal to Fall Apart

This deal will likely fall apart by this weekend or next week — and maybe by then, Trump will finally have had a enough of the games. While the experts and the crowd believe there will be a deal, the crowd is usually wrong. The crowd has priced a peace deal into the stock market that isn't going to happen. Not without more military force.

Iran is denying that a final peace agreement has been reached with the United States. Iran continues to flatly deny any imminent agreement with the Trump administration, rejecting U.S. claims of progress and insisting their red lines on enrichment and sanctions relief are non-negotiable.

If no breakthrough materializes, full-fledged combat operations could resume as early as this weekend or next week. Trump canceled the military strikes that were scheduled for Thursday. Once Iran walks back its commitments again and plays more games, Trump will have no choice but to go in and finish the job. That will likely cause oil prices to surge and the stock market to tumble.

This is a fast-moving situation—diplomatic posturing often masks escalation risks in the region.

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