✨ Visual Editor

close

palette Canvas & Background

Gradient:arrow_forward
Text Color:
135°

style Card Style

40px
16px

text_fields Typography

16px
Brad Setser
@Brad_Setser
Japan should announce a plan where it uses the interest income on the MoF's considerable holdings of US assets (in their reserve portfolio) to buyback the long end of the Japanese curve.

1/
Brad Setser
@Brad_Setser
MoF realizes a tiny fraction of the massive gain on its reserve portfolio (ought at 80-100 JPY to the USD) -- win for JP's taxpayer

and MoF buybacks a portion of its nominal debt stock at a massive discount (another win for JP's taxpayer)

2/
Brad Setser
@Brad_Setser
Huge fan of Mr. Arnold's twitter feed by the way --

But no country with $2 trillion (MOF + GPIF) in sovereign foreign assets and a postal savings bank that holds more foreign than domestic assets is going bust ...

3/
Brad Setser
@Brad_Setser
Sorry doomers. Gotta learn the BoP not just fiscal

(applies to the IMF too ... )

4/4
Thread image
Brad Setser
@Brad_Setser
Think my friend Robin gets the end game here wrong -- my bet is the Japanese turn Postbank back into a captive source of demand for JGBs and the GPIF reallocates back into JGBS (at a massive profit) and the MoF reduces its fx reserves v GDP. 100% different impact on the yen

Generated by Thread Navigator
100%
view_carousel Carousel Studio NEW
Press + S to quick-export