Israel has decided to assassinate Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei to try to cause total state collapse. Unless Iran establishes deterrence in the very short term by striking both Israeli and US assets in the region and eliminating top figures in the Israeli regime, they will proceed
the US and Israel did not launch this war to try to eliminate the nuclear sites. They know they can't. They are too well-protected and dispersed and any damage can be reconstituted in the short-term. They launched it to cause total state collapse in Iran, beginning in phases. The first phase was the eliminate the top military and IRGC leaders, while also going after scientists and mass killing civilians in the process.
This would create the false impression that they are still somewhat restrained and focused on military/nuclear targets.
After taking what they expect will be a similarly constrained response from Iran, they will see that as confirmation that Iran will not adhere to its own stated red lines and is still afraid of meeting Israel at the same level of escalation.
That is their green light to proceed to the next phase, which is to target and kill top political leaders, including Khamenei.
Their hope isn't to replace the current government and state with some re-hash of the monarchist Zionist fascist through his failson, they know there is no base of support for that inside the country.
Their hope is to do another Libya and Syria: Unleash proxy forces they fund and arm together with the Gulf "Arab shield" puppet regimes and NATO-Erdogan and turn it into a spiral of death and chaos, a concocted "civil war" where Iranians are paid and armed by the CIA and Mossad to kill Iranians.
The MEK and other such proxy forces have already been trained and prepared and are ready to be activated. They will begin with car bombings and terrorist attacks mass killing civilians. "ISIS" will reappear again and do its typical job for their CIA-Mossad masters.
The US and Israel decided to launch this war since before Trump was elected, and it has the full and total support of the entire US military-intelligence-industrial complex and the media and political class, both Republicans and Democrats and it would have also happened if Kamala Harris won the election (see
They see Iran and the Axis of Resistance and its alliance with Russia and China as the main obstacle to full and total Zionist US-NATO-Israeli imperial hegemony in the region and by extension the world, and they want to destroy it as it is the only one that unlike Russia and China does not have a nuclear deterrent and they want to get to it before it obtains it.
This is an existential war of survival not just for the Iranian state, but for Iran as a nation.
If this project succeeds, the country will be balkanized, ethnic divisions will be stirred by foreign actors, the CIA and Mossad and the Gulf puppets will fund and arm dozens of proxy death and rape-squads roaming their fiefdoms, tens of millions of lives will be destroyed.
Everything must be done to prevent this. Iran has the weapons to do so. It has the capacity to do so, it is only a question of will. Does it have the will to do what it takes to prevent the mass destruction of their own people and nation. I hope it does. We must all hope it does.
This would create the false impression that they are still somewhat restrained and focused on military/nuclear targets.
After taking what they expect will be a similarly constrained response from Iran, they will see that as confirmation that Iran will not adhere to its own stated red lines and is still afraid of meeting Israel at the same level of escalation.
That is their green light to proceed to the next phase, which is to target and kill top political leaders, including Khamenei.
Their hope isn't to replace the current government and state with some re-hash of the monarchist Zionist fascist through his failson, they know there is no base of support for that inside the country.
Their hope is to do another Libya and Syria: Unleash proxy forces they fund and arm together with the Gulf "Arab shield" puppet regimes and NATO-Erdogan and turn it into a spiral of death and chaos, a concocted "civil war" where Iranians are paid and armed by the CIA and Mossad to kill Iranians.
The MEK and other such proxy forces have already been trained and prepared and are ready to be activated. They will begin with car bombings and terrorist attacks mass killing civilians. "ISIS" will reappear again and do its typical job for their CIA-Mossad masters.
The US and Israel decided to launch this war since before Trump was elected, and it has the full and total support of the entire US military-intelligence-industrial complex and the media and political class, both Republicans and Democrats and it would have also happened if Kamala Harris won the election (see
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They see Iran and the Axis of Resistance and its alliance with Russia and China as the main obstacle to full and total Zionist US-NATO-Israeli imperial hegemony in the region and by extension the world, and they want to destroy it as it is the only one that unlike Russia and China does not have a nuclear deterrent and they want to get to it before it obtains it.
This is an existential war of survival not just for the Iranian state, but for Iran as a nation.
If this project succeeds, the country will be balkanized, ethnic divisions will be stirred by foreign actors, the CIA and Mossad and the Gulf puppets will fund and arm dozens of proxy death and rape-squads roaming their fiefdoms, tens of millions of lives will be destroyed.
Everything must be done to prevent this. Iran has the weapons to do so. It has the capacity to do so, it is only a question of will. Does it have the will to do what it takes to prevent the mass destruction of their own people and nation. I hope it does. We must all hope it does.
all of this goes back to the assassination of Nasrallah. Israel had the ability to assassinate him whenever it wanted. That is not the question. Iran can assassinate Netanyahu if it wants. Ukraine can assassinate Putin, Putin can assassinate Zelensky. Assassinations are not the problem, every state with a barely competent intelligence has the capacity to assassinate anyone.
It is a question of deterrence. The reason Israel did not assassinate Nasrallah is because, as Gallant later came out and admitted, because they were deathly afraid of the response be Hezbollah and Iran. They thought it would lead to such a significant response, not just in terms of a missile strike on Israeli territory hitting military infrastructure, but assassinations of top Israeli officials, that they did not go ahead with it.
Then slowly but surely the deterrence Iran had established was broken down. Look at the timeline:
1 April 2024 Israel attacks Iran's embassy, killing many
13 April Iran responds with Operation True Pormise 1, a symbolic pre-signaled strike. No deaths, just some limited material damage.
19 May Israel kills Iran's president Ebrahim Raisi and the foreign minister Amir-Abdollahian.
Iran responds by covering it up and going along with the lie that it was just an accident so that it could avoid having to retaliate at all. Israeli officials were openly gloating about these killings, and it's an open secret in intel circles that they were assassinated.
July 30 Israel kills top Hezbollah military official Fuad Shukr
July 31 Israel kills Hamas leader Haniyeh, and does it in Tehran itself
Iran then vowed they would retaliate, but Genocide Joe/Blinken began the fake diplomacy propaganda that Trump/Witkoff also initiated ahead of the current war, saying they would get a permanent ceasefire in Gaza as long as they didn't retaliate.
17-18 September Israel does its terrorist pager attack in Lebanon, killing and blinding many including toddlers and children
Already before this they had begun bombing Beirut, which Hezbollah and Nasrallah said was a red line.
Israel saw all this as confirmation that there would be no retaliation by Iran and Hezbollah of the same kind, meaning the direct targeting and mass killing of top Israeli officials and any human shields who they happen to be hiding amongst at the time.
This was the green light to go ahead with the assassination of Nasrallah on September 27th.
By that point, it was already too late. All of Iran and the broader Axis of Resistance's deterrence capacity had already been totally shattered. They kept saying in words: We will strike you at least as hard as you struck us, if not harder, and then they kept not following through on their own stated red lines.
Nasrallah's assassination was when the US and Israel knew that the war on Iran they had already wanted to launch all along was now ready to go in the short term, within a year.
Iran then did retaliate to all this on October 1st, Operation True Promise 2, which did actually do some significant damage although the Western media class deliberately lies about this, but it was limited to military infrastructure. It did not meet the same level of the Israeli attacks, not even close it. No top Israeli officials were eliminated. No targeted assassinations. No human shields that they were hiding amongst were taken out.
All deterrence was completely lost at this point.
Just think about it from the US-Israeli perspective: You killed Nasrallah, the main leader of the Axis of Resistance alongside Khamenei himself, and the only cost you had to bear was some material damage.
Why would they not happily take that exchange? Of course they would. They love that exchange ratio. They would take that deal any day. It's like the perfect gift to them.
And now they are coming in for the final kill, with the exact same standard they have been applying all this time, beginning with the assassination of top military and IRGC officials and scientists and any civilians who may be around them, taking hits that consist primarily of material damage which they love, that's a perfect exchange for them, and then they move to the next phase: The Supreme Leader of Iran and the Axis of Resistance itself.
The only way to stop this now is to break this cycle. And the only way this can be done is by hitting them and doing minimally the same damage to them that was done by them, and ideally going beyond that, in fact far beyond that. You have to look completely insane and unpredictable. You have to come over as totally irrational, capable of destroying the entire region if necessary. In other words, you have to make them fear you just as the genocidal Israeli death-cult and the US have done for themselves.
First: Eliminate top Israeli military and political officials. Any human shields they are hiding amongst with them. It is not a matter of being able to. Of course Iran is able to. It is a question of will.
Second: Target US and Israel military assets everywhere in the region. And not just infrastructure, not just buildings. It can't just be buildings.
Third: Close the strait of Hormuz, and begin striking oil fields in the Arab shield gulf puppet regimes.
All of this has to be done, and then the scale can be increased if deterrence has not yet been established and the war continues.
This is the only way the genocidal Israeli and US death-cults can be brought to heel, and tens of millions of lives can be saved.
It is a question of deterrence. The reason Israel did not assassinate Nasrallah is because, as Gallant later came out and admitted, because they were deathly afraid of the response be Hezbollah and Iran. They thought it would lead to such a significant response, not just in terms of a missile strike on Israeli territory hitting military infrastructure, but assassinations of top Israeli officials, that they did not go ahead with it.
Then slowly but surely the deterrence Iran had established was broken down. Look at the timeline:
1 April 2024 Israel attacks Iran's embassy, killing many
13 April Iran responds with Operation True Pormise 1, a symbolic pre-signaled strike. No deaths, just some limited material damage.
19 May Israel kills Iran's president Ebrahim Raisi and the foreign minister Amir-Abdollahian.
Iran responds by covering it up and going along with the lie that it was just an accident so that it could avoid having to retaliate at all. Israeli officials were openly gloating about these killings, and it's an open secret in intel circles that they were assassinated.
July 30 Israel kills top Hezbollah military official Fuad Shukr
July 31 Israel kills Hamas leader Haniyeh, and does it in Tehran itself
Iran then vowed they would retaliate, but Genocide Joe/Blinken began the fake diplomacy propaganda that Trump/Witkoff also initiated ahead of the current war, saying they would get a permanent ceasefire in Gaza as long as they didn't retaliate.
17-18 September Israel does its terrorist pager attack in Lebanon, killing and blinding many including toddlers and children
Already before this they had begun bombing Beirut, which Hezbollah and Nasrallah said was a red line.
Israel saw all this as confirmation that there would be no retaliation by Iran and Hezbollah of the same kind, meaning the direct targeting and mass killing of top Israeli officials and any human shields who they happen to be hiding amongst at the time.
This was the green light to go ahead with the assassination of Nasrallah on September 27th.
By that point, it was already too late. All of Iran and the broader Axis of Resistance's deterrence capacity had already been totally shattered. They kept saying in words: We will strike you at least as hard as you struck us, if not harder, and then they kept not following through on their own stated red lines.
Nasrallah's assassination was when the US and Israel knew that the war on Iran they had already wanted to launch all along was now ready to go in the short term, within a year.
Iran then did retaliate to all this on October 1st, Operation True Promise 2, which did actually do some significant damage although the Western media class deliberately lies about this, but it was limited to military infrastructure. It did not meet the same level of the Israeli attacks, not even close it. No top Israeli officials were eliminated. No targeted assassinations. No human shields that they were hiding amongst were taken out.
All deterrence was completely lost at this point.
Just think about it from the US-Israeli perspective: You killed Nasrallah, the main leader of the Axis of Resistance alongside Khamenei himself, and the only cost you had to bear was some material damage.
Why would they not happily take that exchange? Of course they would. They love that exchange ratio. They would take that deal any day. It's like the perfect gift to them.
And now they are coming in for the final kill, with the exact same standard they have been applying all this time, beginning with the assassination of top military and IRGC officials and scientists and any civilians who may be around them, taking hits that consist primarily of material damage which they love, that's a perfect exchange for them, and then they move to the next phase: The Supreme Leader of Iran and the Axis of Resistance itself.
The only way to stop this now is to break this cycle. And the only way this can be done is by hitting them and doing minimally the same damage to them that was done by them, and ideally going beyond that, in fact far beyond that. You have to look completely insane and unpredictable. You have to come over as totally irrational, capable of destroying the entire region if necessary. In other words, you have to make them fear you just as the genocidal Israeli death-cult and the US have done for themselves.
First: Eliminate top Israeli military and political officials. Any human shields they are hiding amongst with them. It is not a matter of being able to. Of course Iran is able to. It is a question of will.
Second: Target US and Israel military assets everywhere in the region. And not just infrastructure, not just buildings. It can't just be buildings.
Third: Close the strait of Hormuz, and begin striking oil fields in the Arab shield gulf puppet regimes.
All of this has to be done, and then the scale can be increased if deterrence has not yet been established and the war continues.
This is the only way the genocidal Israeli and US death-cults can be brought to heel, and tens of millions of lives can be saved.
and of course Iran should immediately proceed with acquiring a nuclear weapon, as Mearsheimer said. As soon as they have done that instant deterrence is established and the US and Israel will halt their project of collapsing the Iranian state and destroying the Iranian nation.
The propaganda on all this is actually insane. Think of what the reaction would be if any other state bombed the US, UK, France, Germany, and eliminated the heads of their military forces and scientists along with many civilians. The Western media and political class is treating it like this is just some totally normal, average, everyday thing. Yeah that's fine. Why are you so upset? This is totally normal.
Ok, fine, do a few missile hits on buildings again, but that's it. Nothing beyond that, that would be clearly insanely provocative!
Btw they're not even saying that, they're even hysterically denouncing the strikes on the military infrastructure as beyond the pale. ISRAEL HAS THE RIGHT TO DEFEND ITSELF!!!
It's absolutely fucking insane.
Just do the simple test: What would the US do if the exact same thing was done to them by Russia or China?
What would the UK, France, Germany do?
The US and Israel launched an all-out total war on Iran. Anyone who is downplaying this fact is deliberately lying, they are deliberately fabricating propaganda to try to launder the war and further it and ensure it leads to what I said it will if Iran does not take the appropriate response immediately.
The propaganda on all this is actually insane. Think of what the reaction would be if any other state bombed the US, UK, France, Germany, and eliminated the heads of their military forces and scientists along with many civilians. The Western media and political class is treating it like this is just some totally normal, average, everyday thing. Yeah that's fine. Why are you so upset? This is totally normal.
Ok, fine, do a few missile hits on buildings again, but that's it. Nothing beyond that, that would be clearly insanely provocative!
Btw they're not even saying that, they're even hysterically denouncing the strikes on the military infrastructure as beyond the pale. ISRAEL HAS THE RIGHT TO DEFEND ITSELF!!!
It's absolutely fucking insane.
Just do the simple test: What would the US do if the exact same thing was done to them by Russia or China?
What would the UK, France, Germany do?
The US and Israel launched an all-out total war on Iran. Anyone who is downplaying this fact is deliberately lying, they are deliberately fabricating propaganda to try to launder the war and further it and ensure it leads to what I said it will if Iran does not take the appropriate response immediately.
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