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@thefalkon: Cleaning the Glass splits play...

@thefalkon
4 views Jun 17, 2026
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Cleaning the Glass splits plays into half-court, transition and putback contexts. Those same easy-to-understand numbers haven't been publicly available in the same way for the WNBA.

So, let's fix that.

Introducing Cleaning the Glass-style contextual stats for the WNBA!
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I watched 14 WNBA games from 2026 and hand-labeled 2,538 plays as half-court, transition, scramble (putbacks and quick kickouts) or other.

Then I built a classifier to estimate those same contexts from play-by-play data alone.

Here are the definitions I used to label plays:
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The 2,538 plays, with their manual labels, were split into two sets:

Five games (892 plays) were used to train and tune a rules-based classifier, along with other machine learning models.

Nine games (1,646 plays) were used to test how the models performed on unseen data.
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Every effort was made to make the labels accurate and precise.

The rules-based classifier, which bundles together 20 if-then style rules, achieved 94.8% overall accuracy, 93.0% overall precision and a 92.2% F1 score, outperforming other ML models like HGBC, SVM, XGBoost and KNN.
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About nine plays per game (5% of plays) might be misclassified. In general, the rules-based classifier modestly undercounts transition plays

Differentiating between some half-court and transition plays (like seven-seconds-or-less style plays) can be tough, even for the human eye
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Point being: It’s best to read the labels as estimates, useful ones at that.

Enough about the methodology, though! With the predicted labels in hand, it’s easy to calculate context-based stats.

Here’s the defensive variant of the first table in the original tweet:
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Credit is due to @cleantheglass (obviously!), whose definitions I used, and also @BillyFryer42, who gave advice on how to think about plays that blurred the line b/w half court and transition.

I broke down the top teams in each context for @SInow here: si.com/wnba/breaking-…
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