@0xdoug: 1/ Since a lot of people are w...
@0xdoug
5 views
Oct 13, 2025
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2/ First of all it’s helpful to zoom out and think about what a perp market is and what it does at a very abstract level.
When you have a perps market like BTC, a fun fact is there’s no actual BTC in that system at all. There’s just a big pile of cash sitting doing nothing.
When you have a perps market like BTC, a fun fact is there’s no actual BTC in that system at all. There’s just a big pile of cash sitting doing nothing.
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3/ All a perps market (or any derivatives market for that matter) does is shuffle a big pile of cash around among its participants. It uses a set of rules engineered to create a synthetic BTC like instrument within a system that actually has no BTC
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5/ Along the way, the price of BTC moves too far and some participants lose all their cash. At that point, they’re kicked out (“liquidated”)
Remember longs can only win if shorts have money to lose (and vice versa). So no more money means you can’t play at the table anymore.
Remember longs can only win if shorts have money to lose (and vice versa). So no more money means you can’t play at the table anymore.
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6/ And every short has to be exactly balanced by a solvent long. If a long in the system has no more money left to lose, then by definition that means a short on the other side has no more money left to gain. (And vice versa)
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7/ So if a long is liquidated, exactly one of two things must happen. Either A) a new long position must enter the system, with fresh cash to refill the pile.
Or B) a short on the other side must close out to bring the system back into balance.
Or B) a short on the other side must close out to bring the system back into balance.
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8/ In the happy path this all happens through normal market forces. Nobody has to be forced to do anything, as long as we find willing buyers at fair market prices.
In a normal liquidation this starts by using the same order book ordinary perps market trading happens on.
In a normal liquidation this starts by using the same order book ordinary perps market trading happens on.
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9/ In a healthy, liquid perps market this should be fine. A liquidated long gets sold into the book. The best bid in the order book fills it, and now that bid replaces the original as a new long in the system with fresh cash to top off the pile. Everybody’s happy.
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13/ But the vault is not magic. It’s just one more participant in the broader system. Like anyone else it has to put cash in the pile, follow the same rules, and only has a finite amount or risk and capital it can contribute.
There has to be a final step in the waterfall.
There has to be a final step in the waterfall.
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14/ And that’s when we reach auto deleveraging. It’s the last resort and a (hopefully) rare occurrence because it involves forcing people out of their position instead of paying them.
It happens infrequently enough that even seasoned perps traders are often barely aware of it
It happens infrequently enough that even seasoned perps traders are often barely aware of it
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16/ If the longs are out of money, and no one is willing to come in and take their place, then the system has no choice but to send at least some shorts home and close their positions.
The process used to select who and at what price to close out varies a lot between exchanges
The process used to select who and at what price to close out varies a lot between exchanges
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18/ People naturally get upset at ADL because it feels unfair. You’re forced out of a position right when you’re winning the hardest. But it does need to exist at some level. No exchange no matter how great can guarantee you an infinite stream of losers on the other side.
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20/ The beautiful thing about perps markets is they’re all zero sum, so the system can never be insolvent in the aggregate
There’s not even real BTC to lose value. Just a big boring pile of cash. Like thermodynamics, in the system as a whole, value is never created or destroyed
There’s not even real BTC to lose value. Just a big boring pile of cash. Like thermodynamics, in the system as a whole, value is never created or destroyed








